BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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East Carolina

Class: 1 Class Rank: 108 Overall: (19-14) Overall Strength =   37.25
Conference: American Athletic Record: (7-5) | District: 1-02 Record: (19-12)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-06-2023 Away    W    52.13  68  37    1 284 ( 11- 21) Elon                   14.88     16.12                      
  2 11-09-2023 Home    W    82.07 105  35    1 321 ( 16- 16) SC Upstate             44.82     25.18                      
  3 11-14-2023 Away    L    37.92  50  55    1  86 ( 26-  6) VCU                     0.67     -5.67                      
  4 11-20-2023 Neutral L    37.66  55  79    1   9 ( 26-  6) Ohio St                 0.41    -24.41                      
  5 11-22-2023 Neutral L    33.19  57  68    1  64 ( 17- 15) Seton Hall             -4.06     -6.94                      
  6 11-29-2023 Home    W    29.71  75  55    1 341 (  3- 26) Hampton                -7.54 *   27.54                      
  7 12-02-2023 Home    W    26.59  59  51    1 257 ( 12- 18) Coppin St             -10.66     18.66                      
  8 12-04-2023 Home    W    35.78  72  57    1 235 ( 15- 15) MD E Shore             -1.47     16.47                      
  9 12-18-2023 Home    W    61.72  65  44    1  66 ( 23-  8) George Mason           24.47     -3.47                      
 10 12-21-2023 Home    W    40.93  75  46    1 323 ( 11- 19) Charleston So           3.69     25.31                      
 11 12-30-2023 Home    L    35.84  36  73    1   1 ( 38-  0) South Carolina         -1.41 *  -35.59                      
 12 01-02-2024 Home    W    59.71  82  54    1 130 ( 18- 15) Texas-San Antonio      22.46      5.54                      
 13 01-06-2024 Away    W *  39.04  64  63    1 118 ( 13- 17) Memphis                 1.79     -0.79                      
 14 01-10-2024 Home    L    19.39  64  73    1 157 ( 18- 14) Alabama-Birmingham    -17.86      8.86                      
 15 01-13-2024 Away    L *   8.60  55  81    1 147 ( 12- 20) Tulane                -28.65      2.65                      
 16 01-17-2024 Home    L    23.39  67  80    1  96 ( 19- 15) Rice                  -13.86      0.86                      
 17 01-20-2024 Home    W *  39.51  68  61    1 123 ( 14- 16) SMU                     2.27      4.73                      
 18 01-25-2024 Away    W    33.17  78  74    1 208 ( 11- 19) Florida Atlantic       -4.07      8.07                      
 19 01-28-2024 Away    L *  26.15  40  54    1 106 ( 19- 14) South Florida         -11.10     -2.90                      
 20 02-01-2024 Home    W *  43.55  56  48    1  99 ( 25- 10) Tulsa                   6.30      1.70                      
 21 02-04-2024 Away    W *  50.69  72  51    1 199 ( 10- 22) Wichita St             13.44      7.56                      
 22 02-10-2024 Home    W    45.97  70  56    1 126 ( 16- 15) Charlotte               8.72      5.28                      
 23 02-14-2024 Away    L    23.68  57  75    1  96 ( 19- 15) Rice                  -13.57     -4.43                      
 24 02-17-2024 Home    L *  30.75  70  72    1 118 ( 13- 17) Memphis                -6.50      4.50                      
 25 02-21-2024 Home    L *  24.86  68  78    1 106 ( 19- 14) South Florida         -12.39      2.39                      
 26 02-24-2024 Away    W *  47.81  74  64    1 123 ( 14- 16) SMU                    10.56     -0.56                      
 27 02-27-2024 Away    L    41.18  91  93 4  1  83 ( 23-  9) North Texas             3.93     -5.93                      
 28 03-03-2024 Home    L *  21.96  66  81    1  91 ( 20- 12) Temple                -15.29      0.29                      
 29 03-05-2024 Away    W    42.26  71  66    1 126 ( 16- 15) Charlotte               5.01     -0.01                      
 30 03-10-2024 Neutral W *  37.39  65  63    1 118 ( 13- 17) Memphis                 0.15      1.85                      
 31 03-11-2024 Neutral W *  42.20  75  71    1  99 ( 25- 10) Tulsa                   4.95     -0.95                      
 32 03-12-2024 Neutral W    35.36  55  54    1 130 ( 18- 15) Texas-San Antonio      -1.89      2.89                      
 33 03-13-2024 Neutral L    19.04  41  61    1  96 ( 19- 15) Rice                  -18.21     -1.79                      
      Averages              37.25  65.6 62.8

Best game:   82.07 = 70 point win over SC Upstate
Worst game:   8.60 = 26 point loss to Tulane
Team stdev:  14.19